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Bitcoin has been caught in a persistent bearish trend for 83 consecutive days, struggling to regain upward momentum. Despite attempts to breach the $90,000 mark, the cryptocurrency has remained in indecisive territory, leading analysts to question whether the current pullback is a temporary setback or the beginning of a more significant downturn.
Key Takeaways
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Bitcoin has been in "Bear Mode" for 83 days since January 19.
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Both short-term momentum and quarterly performance have turned negative.
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A "Bull Mode" transition requires sustained upside over several weeks.
Trend Pulse Analysis Reveals Persistent Weakness
According to analyst Axel Adler, a macro indicator known as Trend Pulse highlights the fading momentum. The market has been in "Bear Mode" since January 19, with the "Bull Phase" absent for 83 days. This is supported by charts showing a simultaneous decline in both short-term momentum and quarterly performance.
The Trend Pulse indicator recently shifted from "Neutral" to "Bear" due to a "double-negative setup." This includes the 14-day return falling into negative territory and the 30-day Simple Moving Average (SMA30) trending below the 200-day SMA (SMA200). Bitcoin's quarterly return currently stands at -19%, indicating macro weakness, though not yet at extreme levels typically associated with a market bottom.
Historical Context and Future Outlook
The last "Bull Mode" signal for Bitcoin was observed on November 2, 2025, when the price was around $110,000, approximately 83 days prior to the current analysis. Even a brief "Neutral" period between December 30 and January 18 was insufficient to restore long-term trend strength, leaving Bitcoin vulnerable to renewed selling pressure.
For Bitcoin to transition back to "Neutral" from "Bear Mode," the 14-day return must first move above 0%. A full return to "Bull Mode" requires the SMA30 to cross above the SMA200. Given the current divergence between these averages, such a crossover would likely necessitate 3-4 weeks of sustained upward price action, rather than a short-lived rally.
Price Performance and Moving Averages
Bitcoin is currently trading near $89,000, having failed to sustain its position above the crucial $90,000 psychological level. This reinforces the market's indecision. Since its peak in early November, BTC has printed a lower-high structure, followed by a sharp selloff that has confined it to a wide consolidation range.
From a trend perspective, Bitcoin remains under pressure below its key moving averages. The price is trading below both the long-term green average and the mid-term blue average, both of which are now sloping downwards, indicating bearish momentum. The red long-term average remains significantly above the current price, near the low $100,000s, highlighting the substantial recovery needed to re-establish a strong macro uptrend.
Volume has increased on selloffs compared to bounces, suggesting that downward price movements are met with greater urgency. For bullish investors, reclaiming $90,000 and holding above the $92,000–$94,000 zone is critical. Failure to do so could open the door for a deeper pullback towards the mid-$80,000 region.
Sources
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Bitcoin Stuck In Bear Mode For 83 Days: Trend Pulse Confirms Structural Weakness — TradingView News, TradingView — Track All Markets.
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